English original: The Next 3 Years: What Actually Happens When AI Agents Take Over (2026-2028) /posts/ai-future-next-3-years-2026-2028/ 믿기 어려운 예측 Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei는 이렇게 말한다. “AI 시스템이 거의 모든 일에서 거의 모든 인간보다 더 잘하는 시점”이 2026~2027에 올 수 있다. DeepMind 공동창업자 Shane Legg는 더 공격적인 확률을 던진다. “2028년까지 최소 AGI(minimal AGI)일 확률 50%.” 불편한 사실은, 아직 많은 사람이 AI를 ‘도구’로 생각하지만, 그걸 만드는 사람들은 ‘다른 것’을 보고 있다는 점이다. ...
The Prediction Nobody Wants to Believe Dario Amodei (Anthropic CEO): “AI systems broadly better than all humans at almost all things” — 2026 or 2027 Shane Legg (DeepMind co-founder): 50% chance of minimal AGI — 2028 The uncomfortable truth: Most people still think AI is “just a tool.” The experts building it disagree. Part 1: 2026 — The Year Agents Become Real What Actually Changes AI Development: Capability Current (2025) End of 2026 Multi-modal Text + limited image Text + image + audio + video standard Coding Assists with well-defined problems Handles entire features independently Agents Experimental Production-ready for specific workflows The Stanford projection: 2026 marks the beginning of “precise economic impact measurement” for AI — we’ll finally be able to quantify what AI actually does to productivity and employment. ...
The Problem with AI Chatbots Most AI tools wait for you to ask. You type a prompt, get an answer, and move on. But the real work—the repetitive tasks that eat your day—doesn’t happen in single prompts. It happens in multi-step workflows: Reading meeting notes across 5 teams Triaging 50 IT tickets per week Compiling weekly status reports for leadership Notion Custom Agents (launched Feb 2026) solve this differently: give them a job, set a trigger, and they work 24/7. ...