Defense

The Overlooked Counter-Move When analysts discuss AI in warfare, they focus on speed: faster decisions, faster targeting, faster execution. The assumption is that whoever has better AI wins. But there’s a blind spot: adversaries adapt structurally, not just technologically. Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has spent two decades building a command structure specifically designed to survive exactly the kind of AI-enabled warfare that Pentagon planners envision. The Centralization Trap Why AI Favors Hierarchies AI excels at: ...

The Question No One’s Asking The Middle East is boiling. Iran-Israel tensions have reached a boiling point. The US is deploying carrier groups. But amidst the headlines, a deeper structural question emerges: Will AI make wars faster—or not? The answer has profound implications for defense, energy, and technology investments. Hypothesis 1: AI Accelerates Warfare The OODA Loop Compression Colonel John Boyd’s OODA loop (Observe-Orient-Decide-Act) has governed aerial combat since the 1950s. AI compresses this cycle from minutes to milliseconds. ...